A TIFA Research poll shows President William Ruto remains the most preferred presidential candidate at 24 per cent ahead of the 2027 General Election, but his support is considered vulnerable. The opposition vote is scattered among several contenders, and TIFA notes that the absence of a dominant opposition challenger could work in Ruto's favour despite his relatively modest popularity.
14 May 2026 · Capital News →
A TIFA Research survey of 2,013 Kenyans across all 47 counties finds President Ruto with 24 per cent support if elections were held today, his highest rating since May 2025, while Kalonzo Musyoka places second at 19 per cent and three in four Kenyans prefer someone else or remain undecided. Ruto draws strongest support from Northern Kenya at 48 per cent and Nyanza at 41 per cent, but only nine per cent in Mt Kenya where Gachagua commands 70 per cent recognition.
14 May 2026 · The Standard →
A TIFA Research poll conducted in May finds 56 per cent of Kenyans oppose the Broad-Based Government while 30 per cent support it, marking the coalition between the Orange Democratic Movement and United Democratic Alliance at its lowest support level in a year.
14 May 2026 · The Standard →
A TIFA survey conducted in May 2026 shows support for President Ruto's broad-based government with the late former PM Raila Odinga has declined sharply since November 2025, falling from 44 percent to 30 percent, while opposition rose from 48 percent to 56 percent. Support has weakened across nearly all regions, including Western Kenya (from 62 to 29 percent), Central Rift (from 60 to 32 percent), Nyanza (from 59 to 49 percent), and Lower Eastern (from 38 to 19 percent).
14 May 2026 · The Standard →
A TIFA Research poll released in May 2024 shows Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna at 10 per cent in presidential preference, up from zero a year prior, and leading the Luhya community with 44 per cent backing among those acknowledging an ethnic leader. His rise tracks with his leadership of the 'Linda Mwananchi' faction opposing ODM's Broad-Based Government arrangement with President Ruto's administration.
14 May 2026 · The Standard →