A TIFA Research poll shows President William Ruto remains the most preferred presidential candidate at 24 per cent ahead of the 2027 General Election, but his support is considered vulnerable. The opposition vote is scattered among several contenders, and TIFA notes that the absence of a dominant opposition challenger could work in Ruto's favour despite his relatively modest popularity.
14 May 2026 · Capital News →
A TIFA Research opinion poll shows President William Ruto leading 2026 presidential preference with 24%, ahead of Kalonzo Musyoka at 19%, while former Deputy President Gachagua and Senator Sifuna are tied at 18%, reflecting a tightly contested field ahead of the 2027 General Election.
14 May 2026 · Capital News →
A TIFA Research survey of 2,013 Kenyan adults across all 47 counties found that 59 per cent of respondents who support Ruto's re-election bid prefer Deputy President Kithure Kindiki as his running mate in 2027, ahead of Gladys Wanga at 12 per cent.
14 May 2026 · Citizen Digital →
A TIFA Research poll released in May 2026 shows Deputy President Kithure Kindiki with 59 per cent support as President Ruto's preferred running mate in the 2027 General Election, far ahead of Homa Bay Governor Gladys Wanga at 12 per cent.
14 May 2026 · Capital News →
A TIFA Research survey of 2,013 Kenyans across all 47 counties finds President Ruto with 24 per cent support if elections were held today, his highest rating since May 2025, while Kalonzo Musyoka places second at 19 per cent and three in four Kenyans prefer someone else or remain undecided. Ruto draws strongest support from Northern Kenya at 48 per cent and Nyanza at 41 per cent, but only nine per cent in Mt Kenya where Gachagua commands 70 per cent recognition.
14 May 2026 · The Standard →
A TIFA Research poll conducted in May finds 56 per cent of Kenyans oppose the Broad-Based Government while 30 per cent support it, marking the coalition between the Orange Democratic Movement and United Democratic Alliance at its lowest support level in a year.
14 May 2026 · The Standard →
A TIFA Research poll finds ODM and UDA, which dominated Kenyan politics since 2022, are now statistically tied with Rigathi Gachagua's Democratic Change Party at 18, 17, and 16 per cent respectively, each having shed more than half their support since August 2022. DCP's rise is driven largely by Gachagua's attacks on the government and consolidation of support in Mt Kenya, where it draws 39 per cent.
14 May 2026 · The Standard →
A TIFA Research poll released in May 2024 shows Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna at 10 per cent in presidential preference, up from zero a year prior, and leading the Luhya community with 44 per cent backing among those acknowledging an ethnic leader. His rise tracks with his leadership of the 'Linda Mwananchi' faction opposing ODM's Broad-Based Government arrangement with President Ruto's administration.
14 May 2026 · The Standard →