TIFA Research

Also known as: TIFA Research 2026

TIFA Research — polling and survey organization that tracks Kenyan public opinion on political preferences and economic conditions.

2026-05-142026-10-24

News reports

Order a long-term news report on TIFA Research

Every mention in the Kenyan press over the period you choose, compiled as a PDF or Word document.

In coverage

Verbatim sentences from the source article.

May 2026
14 MayThe Standard
… The TIFA Research survey released on Thursday, May 14, places the Nairobi Senator at 10 per cent in presidential preference, up from zero in May 2025.Among the Luhya community, 44 per cent of those who acknowledge an ethnic community leader name Sifuna as theirs, placing him ahea …
TIFA survey: Sifuna goes from zero to Luhya kingpin in 12 months

Politics

ODM confronts succession crisis and identity questions after Raila

The News

One year after Raila Odinga's death, the Orange Democratic Movement faces internal disagreements over its leadership, its relationship with President William Ruto, and whether it should field its own 2027 presidential candidate or support Ruto's re-election. In July 2026, party leader Oburu Oginga announced ODM would not field a presidential candidate and would support Ruto instead, a decision that has exposed tensions within the party.

15 October 2026 · Capital News →

Thursday 15 October

ODM confronts succession crisis and identity questions after Raila
One year after Raila Odinga's death, the Orange Democratic Movement faces internal disagreements over its leadership, its relationship with President William Ruto, and whether it should field its own 2027 presidential candidate or support Ruto's re-election. In July 2026, party leader Oburu Oginga announced ODM would not field a presidential candidate and would support Ruto instead, a decision that has exposed tensions within the party.
15 October 2026 · Capital News →

Sunday 13 September

Three in four Kenyans believe country headed wrong direction
According to a TIFA Research poll, three in four Kenyans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction — the highest level recorded in more than three years of tracking.
13 September 2026 · The Standard →
Three in four Kenyans say country headed wrong way
A TIFA Research poll released this week found that three in four Kenyans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction, the highest level recorded in more than three years of tracking.
13 September 2026 · The Standard →

Thursday 10 September

Poll shows 76% of Kenyans dissatisfied with country direction
A TIFA Research opinion poll released in September 2026 indicates that more than half of Kenyans oppose the Broad-Based Government arrangement between President William Ruto and the late Prime Minister Raila Odinga, with 76 per cent of respondents feeling the country is moving in the wrong direction and only 15 per cent believing Kenya is moving in the right direction.
10 September 2026 · The Standard →
TIFA poll: 76% of Kenyans say country on wrong path
A TIFA Research opinion poll released on September 9 shows that more than half of Kenyans oppose President Ruto's Broad-Based Government arrangement with the late Prime Minister Raila Odinga, with 76 per cent of respondents expressing that the country is moving in the wrong direction—the highest level recorded in the tracking period.
10 September 2026 · The Standard →

Wednesday 9 September

Survey: 66% of Kenyans report worsening economic situation since 2022
A TIFA Research survey of 2,048 adults across all 47 counties conducted in June found that 66 per cent of respondents say their personal economic situation has worsened since the 2022 election, while 12 per cent report improvement and 23 per cent say it has remained the same. Regional disparities emerged, with Mt Kenya recording the highest share at 79 per cent reporting a worsening situation, followed by Western at 74 per cent.
9 September 2026 · The Standard →
Majority of Kenyans oppose broad-based government arrangement
A TIFA Research survey found 52 per cent of Kenyans oppose the Broad-Based Government arrangement between President William Ruto and the late former Prime Minister Raila Odinga, while 30 per cent support it. The poll was conducted among 2,048 adults across all 47 counties in June 2026.
9 September 2026 · The Standard →

Thursday 20 August

Survey: 44% of ride-hailing users would switch to matatus
A TIFA Research consumer survey shows 44 percent of ride-hailing users would turn to public transport if fares rise, while only 18 percent would continue using the services regardless of price increases. The government is preparing regulations to introduce minimum compensation per trip for drivers, with consultations considering a minimum fare of around Sh400–Sh500, compared to current base fares of about Sh220.
20 August 2026 · Capital News →
81% of Nairobi residents concerned about rising cost of living
A TIFA Research report found 81 per cent of Nairobi respondents very concerned by rising commodity prices, with worry highest among those above 35 years and men reporting greater concern than women. Transport, fuel, food and education account for 62 per cent of residents' worries.
20 August 2026 · The Standard →

Monday 10 August

Kalonzo warns opposition against relying on polls for 2027
Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka has cautioned the United Opposition against using opinion polls to determine its 2027 presidential ticket, warning that surveys could be manipulated and used to influence voters and opposition negotiations. Kalonzo claimed the intelligence community might attempt to influence public opinion through polling figures to favor President William Ruto, though he provided no evidence.
10 August 2026 · Capital News →

Friday 24 July

52% of Kenyans oppose Ruto's broad-based government alliance
A TIFA Research survey found that 52 percent of Kenyans oppose the Broad-Based Government formed between President William Ruto and former Prime Minister Raila Odinga, compared to 30 percent who support it, with opposition outweighing support by nearly two to one despite the arrangement's stated goal of fostering national unity.
24 July 2026 · Capital News →
Ruto leads 2027 race with 24 percent; Sifuna rises in opposition
According to a TIFA Research opinion poll, President William Ruto holds 24 percent support in the 2027 presidential race, while opposition backing is divided. Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna has emerged as the fastest-rising opposition contender, climbing from virtually no measurable support in 2025 to 15 percent in June 2026, ahead of former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i (14 percent) and former Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka (13 percent).
24 July 2026 · Capital News →

Sunday 17 May

Opposition risks misreading Ruto's 24% polling lead
A Capital News opinion piece warns that while President Ruto's 24 per cent support in a TIFA Research poll is lower than the combined opposition support, a fragmented opposition field means the incumbent remains the single most preferred candidate and could still win unless opposition leaders unite behind one candidate.
17 May 2026 · Capital News →

Thursday 14 May

Ruto leads 2027 race despite weakening support, fragmented opposition
A TIFA Research poll shows President William Ruto remains the most preferred presidential candidate at 24 per cent ahead of the 2027 General Election, but his support is considered vulnerable. The opposition vote is scattered among several contenders, and TIFA notes that the absence of a dominant opposition challenger could work in Ruto's favour despite his relatively modest popularity.
14 May 2026 · Capital News →
Ruto leads 2026 preference poll at 24%, rivals closely bunched
A TIFA Research opinion poll shows President William Ruto leading 2026 presidential preference with 24%, ahead of Kalonzo Musyoka at 19%, while former Deputy President Gachagua and Senator Sifuna are tied at 18%, reflecting a tightly contested field ahead of the 2027 General Election.
14 May 2026 · Capital News →
Kindiki leads deputy presidential preference poll for 2027
A TIFA Research survey of 2,013 Kenyan adults across all 47 counties found that 59 per cent of respondents who support Ruto's re-election bid prefer Deputy President Kithure Kindiki as his running mate in 2027, ahead of Gladys Wanga at 12 per cent.
14 May 2026 · Citizen Digital →
Kindiki leads 2027 running mate preference poll with 59 percent
A TIFA Research poll released in May 2026 shows Deputy President Kithure Kindiki with 59 per cent support as President Ruto's preferred running mate in the 2027 General Election, far ahead of Homa Bay Governor Gladys Wanga at 12 per cent.
14 May 2026 · Capital News →
TIFA poll shows Ruto leading 2027 race with 24 percent support
A TIFA Research survey of 2,013 Kenyans across all 47 counties finds President Ruto with 24 per cent support if elections were held today, his highest rating since May 2025, while Kalonzo Musyoka places second at 19 per cent and three in four Kenyans prefer someone else or remain undecided. Ruto draws strongest support from Northern Kenya at 48 per cent and Nyanza at 41 per cent, but only nine per cent in Mt Kenya where Gachagua commands 70 per cent recognition.
14 May 2026 · The Standard →
TIFA survey shows majority Kenyans oppose Broad-Based Government
A TIFA Research poll conducted in May finds 56 per cent of Kenyans oppose the Broad-Based Government while 30 per cent support it, marking the coalition between the Orange Democratic Movement and United Democratic Alliance at its lowest support level in a year.
14 May 2026 · The Standard →
ODM, UDA support collapses as DCP rises ahead of 2027
A TIFA Research poll finds ODM and UDA, which dominated Kenyan politics since 2022, are now statistically tied with Rigathi Gachagua's Democratic Change Party at 18, 17, and 16 per cent respectively, each having shed more than half their support since August 2022. DCP's rise is driven largely by Gachagua's attacks on the government and consolidation of support in Mt Kenya, where it draws 39 per cent.
14 May 2026 · The Standard →
Sifuna rises to fourth in presidential preferences, leads Luhya voters
A TIFA Research poll released in May 2024 shows Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna at 10 per cent in presidential preference, up from zero a year prior, and leading the Luhya community with 44 per cent backing among those acknowledging an ethnic leader. His rise tracks with his leadership of the 'Linda Mwananchi' faction opposing ODM's Broad-Based Government arrangement with President Ruto's administration.
14 May 2026 · The Standard →