TIFA

Also known as: TIFA survey

TIFA — polling organization conducting nationwide surveys on Kenyan political attitudes, institutions trust, and electoral preferences.

2026-05-142026-08-06

In coverage

Verbatim sentences from the source article.

June 2026
4 JunCitizen Digital
Kenyans lack trust in president Ruto, police and parliament - TIFA survey By Roy Ouma June 04, 2026 11:20 (EAT) Add as a Preferred Source on Google Follow us Follow on Whatsapp Follow on Google Follow on Twitter File photo of Kenya's Parliament buildings in Nairobi. …
Kenyans lack trust in president Ruto, police and parliament - TIFA survey
May 2026
24 MayCapital News
A glance at the latest TIFA poll paints a difficult picture for President William Ruto and the Kenya Kwanza camp. …
OPINION: Opposition Unity Alone Will Not Defeat Ruto in 2027
17 MayThe Standard
… Then there were the TIFA polls and their ominous outlook for the establishment. Fuel cost hikes came in to cast a dark cloud on the future of a regime wrestling with unfulfilled promises, doubtable truths, and a population that is getting restless about everything government. …
50 per cent plus 1 pipedream: Why the President should be a worried man
14 MayCitizen Digital
73% of ODM supporters back Sifuna-led Linda Mwananchi – TIFA Survey By Roy Ouma May 14, 2026 01:44 (EAT) Add as a Preferred Source on Google Follow us Follow on Whatsapp Follow on Google Follow on Twitter Orange Democratic Movement Secretary General Edwin Sifuna speaks to Vihiga …
73% of ODM supporters back Sifuna-led Linda Mwananchi – TIFA Survey
14 MayCapital News
NAIROBI, Kenya May 14 – A new TIFA opinion poll indicates a significant reshaping of Kenya’s political landscape, with both the ruling and major opposition parties recording sharp declines in support since the 2022 General Election. …
TIFA Poll Shows Dramatic Political Shift as ODM and UDA Lose Ground While DCP Gains Momentum
14 MayThe Standard
Audio By VocalizeSupport for the broad-based government arrangement between President William Ruto and the late former Prime Minister Raila Odinga has sharply declined in the months following Raila’s death, with a new TIFA survey revealing growing public discontent, deepening ODM …
Broad-based government losing ground nationwide, survey shows

Politics

Ruto unveils Vision 2030 successor amid low public trust

The News

President William Ruto on Thursday launched a new national development framework to replace Vision 2030, calling for public consultations beginning August 12, as opinion polls show two-thirds of Kenyans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction and trust in his leadership stands at net minus 39 per cent. The new vision aims to translate constitutional guarantees on health, housing, food, water and education into measurable outcomes, with Ruto stating Kenya could become a "prosperous, high-income, industrialised and globally competitive nation within one generation," even as many Kenyans say his 2022 campaign promises on jobs and lower living costs remain unfulfilled.

31 July 2026 · The Standard →

Friday 31 July

Ruto unveils Vision 2030 successor amid low public trust
President William Ruto on Thursday launched a new national development framework to replace Vision 2030, calling for public consultations beginning August 12, as opinion polls show two-thirds of Kenyans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction and trust in his leadership stands at net minus 39 per cent. The new vision aims to translate constitutional guarantees on health, housing, food, water and education into measurable outcomes, with Ruto stating Kenya could become a "prosperous, high-income, industrialised and globally competitive nation within one generation," even as many Kenyans say his 2022 campaign promises on jobs and lower living costs remain unfulfilled.
31 July 2026 · The Standard →

Friday 24 July

TIFA poll: Linda Mwananchi faction commands 74% ODM support
A TIFA opinion poll conducted from June 13–22, 2026, shows the Linda Mwananchi faction of ODM, led by Edwin Sifuna, James Orengo, and Babu Owino, enjoys 74% backing among ODM supporters, compared to 20% for the Dr. Oburu Oginga-led Linda Ground faction. Linda Mwananchi posts strong regional backing in Nairobi (79%), Mt. Kenya (89%), Western (89%), and the Central Rift (87%), while Linda Ground's strongest showing is in Nyanza at 40%.
24 July 2026 · Citizen Digital →
ODM supporters increasingly back Sifuna's Linda Mwananchi movement
According to a TIFA poll, 74 percent of ODM supporters now identify with the Linda Mwananchi movement led by party Secretary General Edwin Sifuna, up from 73 percent in May, while support for the rival Linda Ground faction fell from 24 percent to 20 percent over the same period.
24 July 2026 · Capital News →
TIFA poll: 62% of anti-Ruto voters back opposition unity
A TIFA survey shows that 62 percent of Kenyans opposed to President William Ruto's re-election believe former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua should support the strongest opposition candidate rather than run for the coalition leadership himself, indicating voters prioritise defeating the incumbent over personalities in the 2027 election.
24 July 2026 · Capital News →
Most Kenyans want Gachagua to back opposition candidate against Ruto
A TIFA survey shows 62% of Kenyans believe former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua should support the strongest opposition candidate to unseat President William Ruto in the 2027 General Election, while 14% believe he should be allowed to contest and lead the opposition ticket.
24 July 2026 · Citizen Digital →

Sunday 12 July

Opposition unity fractures over 2027 presidential candidate selection
Kenya's united opposition coalition has exposed internal contradictions over choosing a presidential flagbearer for 2027, with leaders disagreeing on timing and process—DP's Justin Muturi endorsed Kalonzo Musyoka while appearing with Fred Matiang'i, Martha Karua said there was no agreed formula, and Rigathi Gachagua argued for delay. A Standard opinion piece argues the real issue is not personalities but Kenya's presidential system architecture, which makes the flagbearer choice a winner-take-all political battle.
12 July 2026 · The Standard →

Sunday 21 June

TIFA poll identifies Kalonzo-Sifuna as strongest 2027 presidential pairing
A TIFA poll has identified a Kalonzo Musyoka–Edwin Sifuna ticket as the hottest presidential pairing for 2027, according to an opinion piece in The Standard.
21 June 2026 · The Standard →

Friday 5 June

Ruto-Raila broad-based government support drops to 30 percent
A TIFA poll conducted last month found support for the broad-based government between President William Ruto's Kenya Kwanza administration and the Orange Democratic Movement has fallen sharply by 14 percentage points to 30 per cent, while opposition has surged to 56 per cent.
5 June 2026 · Capital News →
Taxation emerges as top Kenyan concern in TIFA poll
A TIFA survey conducted in May 2026 found that 74 percent of Kenyans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction, with taxation, healthcare challenges and security concerns fueling economic hardship. Inflation, high prices and taxation were cited by 44 percent of respondents as the country's most pressing challenge, nearly double the level recorded in November 2025.
5 June 2026 · Capital News →

Thursday 4 June

Government-citizen trust deficit visible in Laikipia Ebola facility uproar
An opinion piece argues that Kenyans' objection to a proposed Ebola quarantine facility in Laikipia reflects not scientific skepticism but a wider trust deficit, rooted in the government's lack of transparency about the project from the start.
4 June 2026 · Citizen Digital →
TIFA survey shows Kenyans lack trust in major institutions
A TIFA National Survey of 2,013 respondents across all 47 counties found that majorities lack trust in the Presidency (45%), police (43%), and Parliament (42%), citing institutional failures in taxation, security, and governance.
4 June 2026 · Citizen Digital →

Sunday 24 May

Opposition unity alone insufficient to defeat Ruto in 2027
According to a TIFA poll, opposition candidates combined command 52 percent support versus President Ruto's 24 percent, but an opinion piece argues that uniting behind one candidate will not guarantee victory because voters are fragmented by emotion, identity, ideology, generation and personality rather than being transferable blocs.
24 May 2026 · Capital News →

Sunday 17 May

President faces electoral challenges amid polling and economic pressures
An opinion piece examining the President's difficult position in light of recent TIFA polls showing an ominous outlook for the establishment, alongside challenges including fuel cost hikes and a restless population frustrated with unfulfilled promises.
17 May 2026 · The Standard →

Thursday 14 May

TIFA survey: 73% of ODM supporters back Sifuna faction
A TIFA survey found that 73% of ODM supporters back the Linda Mwananchi Group led by Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna, while party leader Oburu Oginga received 24% support for his Linda Ground faction. ODM supporters, according to the survey, favour a more independent, people-centred opposition approach rather than closer cooperation with the government.
14 May 2026 · Citizen Digital →
TIFA poll shows ODM, UDA lose support; DCP gains ground
A TIFA opinion poll indicates significant shifts in Kenya's political landscape, with ODM declining from 32% in August 2022 to 18% in May 2026, and UDA falling from 38% to 14% over the same period. The Democratic Change Party has risen from 9% in September 2025 to 16% in May 2026, alongside gains for Jubilee (5% to 11%) and Wiper (4% to 9%), reflecting voter fatigue with established parties and a search for alternative leadership.
14 May 2026 · Capital News →
Broad-based government support drops to 30 percent in nationwide survey
A TIFA survey conducted in May 2026 shows support for President Ruto's broad-based government with the late former PM Raila Odinga has declined sharply since November 2025, falling from 44 percent to 30 percent, while opposition rose from 48 percent to 56 percent. Support has weakened across nearly all regions, including Western Kenya (from 62 to 29 percent), Central Rift (from 60 to 32 percent), Nyanza (from 59 to 49 percent), and Lower Eastern (from 38 to 19 percent).
14 May 2026 · The Standard →